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Rationality for Mortals: How People Cope with Uncertainty [Format Kindle]

Gerd Gigerenzer
4.0 étoiles sur 5  Voir tous les commentaires (1 commentaire client)

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Revue de presse

This book should be read bu all scientists interested in understanding human behaviour on decision making, or in knowing the limites of human inference under uncertainty in order to provide statistical information in an understandable manner. (Marta Posada, Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation)

Présentation de l'éditeur

Gerd Gigerenzers influential work examines the rationality of individuals not from the perspective of logic or probability, but from the point of view of adaptation to the real world of human behavior and interaction with the environment. Seen from this perspective, human behavior is more rational than it might otherwise appear. This work is extremely influential and has spawned an entire research program. This volume collects recent articles, looking at how people use fast and frugal heuristics to calculate probability and risk and make decisions. It includes the revised articles and newly written introduction that were first published in the hardcover edition. Its appeal is to a mixture of cognitive psychologists, philosophers, economists, and others who study decision making. Gerd Gigerenzer has created new, pathbreaking ways of thinking about human rationality. His ideas build on one another and are best seen as part of a coherent whole that is when the nature of his arguments emerges most clearly.-- Leda Cosmides, University of California Santa Barbara

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4.0 étoiles sur 5 Well written and interesting. 14 décembre 2014
Par Yeen
Format:Broché|Achat vérifié
I'm a student in engineering and biochemistry in Belgium. I'm far from an expert in the field but the book is well written, easy to understand and as far as I've read delivers. I'm not done yet but for now I have absolutely no regrets.
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Amazon.com: 3.6 étoiles sur 5  5 commentaires
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5.0 étoiles sur 5 Useful, well written, readable, enjoyable--and very probably true 8 décembre 2011
Par Epictetus (Hong Kong) - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format:Broché|Achat vérifié
I read this author's _Reckoning with Risk_ some time ago and found it worthwhile. This is an even better book, despite being an earlier one (2000) than that (2003).

Like evolution, probability is a slippery, subtle subject and some of its main principles and their ramifications can be hard to grasp, even for intelligent people. This book is one of the best out there for explaining some of the fundamental concepts in uncertainty and probability. Gigerenzer uses some striking historical examples to do this. One of these is about John Arbuthnot (1710) who used the concept that we now call the null hypothesis to prove the existence of God. Gigerenzer observes that "Arbuthnot's test illuminates the possibilities and limitations of a null hypothesis.... Divine providence always wins if the null hypothesis loses."

As well as explaining some key concepts such as the null hypothesis, this books shows them in action, as in the Chapter 9 "Understanding Risks in Healthcare."

I recommend this book to anyone who wants to improve or check their understanding of some of the fundamental concepts and also gaps in our current understanding of uncertainty and probability.
7 internautes sur 7 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
5.0 étoiles sur 5 Elegant and Accessible 20 avril 2013
Par Colin E Rumbley - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format:Format Kindle|Achat vérifié
Having read much of Gigerenzer as well as Kahneman's work, I can say that this volume would make a great introduction for someone interested in heuristics. A very accessible presentation of these ideas. Of course, if you are new to statistics, there are some technical sections that may spark further investigation. Heuristics is an academic enterprise, not a casual philosophical idea. Complete comprehension the first time through should not be the expectation - what I think is at the root of some of the criticisms here. If you find this frustrating reading, try slogging through the academic papers on which the chapters are based!

Rationality for Mortals combines plain english sections with more technical supporting sections. I like this approach for the same reason I like Antonio Damasio's popular books on the brain. Some of the jargon is over my head, but the rest is readable and inspiring enough to welcome the challenge.
0 internautes sur 5 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
4.0 étoiles sur 5 Love to see this book in Audio/Audible format ... 19 août 2013
Par BruceK - Publié sur Amazon.com
Why is there always a button for requesting a Kindle version of books, but not one for an Audio version of books?

I got the authors "Gut Feelings" which I thought was great in audiobook format, and would like to read this in audiobook format too - consider this as a request I could not submit any other way.
3 internautes sur 20 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
3.0 étoiles sur 5 Phew. 27 juin 2011
Par Debra M. Ridley - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format:Broché|Achat vérifié
I have read this text from cover to cover and must say that it is no easy read despite the fact that I studied this subject quite exstensively
I think part of the problem is that the author is rather too argumentitive, which results in certain areas of the book appearing over complicated.
1 internautes sur 23 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
1.0 étoiles sur 5 Too fast and too frustrating 22 février 2012
Par Soren Wenstop - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format:Format Kindle
Reading this (as far as my increasing sense of annoyance permitted) was not an experience worth sharing. The author is mudling through with remarkably little analytical clarity.
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