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Baseball Prospectus 2014: The Essential Guide to the 2014 Season (Anglais) Relié – 11 février 2014

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Amazon.com: 4.4 étoiles sur 5 90 commentaires
22 internautes sur 28 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
5.0 étoiles sur 5 Always Worth Reading 27 janvier 2014
Par Roger Devine - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format: Broché Achat vérifié
I've got the past 13 editions on my shelf, and have been a subscriber of the website for at least a decade.

Is Baseball Prospectus what it once was? Of course not. It's always been a collective of smart analysts and writers (some of whom are also funny), and yearly turnover is merely evidence of what a fertile launching ground it has been. Pining for the days of Nate Silver and Gary Huckabay and Christina Kahrl and Joe Sheehan is a lot like saying that your wife doesn't cook like your mom did - it won't get you anything but heartbreak.

The fact remains that BP is an important platform - good work continues to be done there, by writers who take the opportunity seriously, and the value in this annual far outstrips what you pay for it. (The same goes for the website subscription). There will be bits in here that blow your mind, and bits that fail to engage you whatsoever. Turn the page on those, and enjoy the rest. At the end of the season, you'll be glad you had it next to whatever seat you sit in when you watch/listen to/stream/download the games.
26 internautes sur 35 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
1.0 étoiles sur 5 The Kindle Edition is Dreadful 2 février 2014
Par Texan - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format: Format Kindle Achat vérifié
I'm relatively new to the Kindle platform, so it's possible that there might be ways to address some of the issues I have with the Kindle edition of BP2014. I also recognize that to match the experience of print with a title that features a variety of data presentation formats (text, various exhibits, tables, etc.) in a book that is probably more "random access reference" than it is "regular read" is asking for a lot.

Despite lowered expectations, however, the BP2014 Kindle edition still manages to underwhelm. Specific complaints from this Kindle Fire HD reader:

1) The basic player presentations, at first glance, are fine -- each player starts on a new "page" followed by their statistical chart and the commentary. But then you look at the statistical chart -- most players have 3-4 years of data to present, and this is presented broken down across three separate tables to accommodate the width limitations in portrait format. It's awful for anyone who is accustomed to any form of "normal" baseball statistics presentation, including BP's annual. And forget about flipping into landscape mode to overcome it -- the three tables are hardwired. (This is where my limited Kindle knowledge kicks in -- I have no idea what the "right" answer is, but I can tell you what was done isn't it.)

2) The "go to..." index is limited to the major articles (fine) and the team articles. Which means that to locate a specific player requires that you go to the team article and then page like mad to get to where you want to be. If you're looking for Matt Adams of the Cardinals, it's not too bad (he's the first hitter following the team article), but if it's Adam Wainwright (at the end of the pitchers, who are after all the batters), it's not so swift. And sure, I could go to the FOLLOWING team and work backwards, which is a wonderfully intuitive approach, isn't it, and there's still the "Line Drives" section to page back through. Which leads to...

3) The "Line Drives" presentation is just a mess -- bullets showing up intermingled with hanging text from the previous item, spaced randomly and unreadably. Yuck.

In general, it looks like a real slapdash job -- for instance, the index issue could have been fixed with just a bit of extra effort -- too much to ask that every player be given an entry? Fine. At least break each team down one layer into "Batters," "Pitchers," and "Line Drives."

I'm about a month and a half away from access to a hard copy version, so I'm probably going to have to grin and bear it, but I don't recommend it to you.

As far as the content within goes, it's up to BP's usual fine quality and insight. The team articles in particular have benefited by the wide range of authors responsible.
5 internautes sur 6 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
5.0 étoiles sur 5 A must for fans 29 janvier 2014
Par Brian M Allyn - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format: Broché
As a braves fan this is a must. Lots of information for the next season and what to be ready for. Baseball Prospectus 2014 provides fantasy players and insiders alike with prescient PECOTA projections, which Sports Illustrated has called "perhaps the game's most accurate projection model." Still, stats are just numbers if you don't see the larger context, and Baseball Prospectus brings together an elite team of analysts to provide the definitive look at all thirty teams—their players, their prospects, and their managers—to explain away flukes, hot streaks, injury-tainted numbers, and park effects. Victory, after all, could come down to choosing between the supposed sleeper and the overrated prospects who won't be able to fool people in the Show like they have down on the farm.
5 internautes sur 6 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
4.0 étoiles sur 5 better than last years version 23 février 2014
Par Frank L. Greenagel Jr. - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format: Broché Achat vérifié
I have been very unhappy with the brain drain from BP and their inability to replace the lost writers with equals (which is probably unreasonable of me, but still...).

Last year's edition was terrible. The essays were awful and there were lots of typos. This year, the essays are better and the book is a touch shorter. They do a nice job with their projection system and prospect rankings (they have even begun evaluating their own rankings on the website from 5 years ago to see how good their predictions are).

While it is not what is was 10 years ago, the book still has quality content and is extremely affordable (especially if you buy it on Amazon).
15 internautes sur 21 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
5.0 étoiles sur 5 Another baseball season, another Prospectus. . . 25 janvier 2014
Par Steven Peterson - Publié sur Amazon.com
Format: Broché Achat vérifié
I really enjoy this volume's arrival each year. It is filled with sabermetric analysis. Statistics beyond ERA, batting average, slugging percentage, etc. add a deeper dimension to sensing how well a player did. Also enjoyable is PECOTA, a system to project a player's performance in the upcoming season--in this case 2014.

Normally, I immediately go to see how my favored team, the Chicago White Sox, is represented here. Last year was not a good year, as the statistics show (1st in unearned runs allowed, # 1 is fewest runs scored) and their talent cupboard (major and minor league) and their finances and management rate 29th in baseball. Not auspicious for the coming season.

The player by player analyses are always interesting, and I especially like the projections. For instance, Adam Dunn. A hitter with a lot of power (let's forget a dreadful 2011) and a low average (the last three years: .159, .204, .219). 2014? A .214 batting average and 28 home runs. Not sure the home runs counter the miserable projected batting average. There is a 0% chance he will improve his performance dramatically, a 22% chance of improvement, only a 7% chance of a collapse (major decline), and a 17% chance of attrition (having performance decline--but not dramatically). Paul Konerko has had a career that is worthy of appreciation. However, he has been slowing down. Last year--a .244 batting average, just 12 home runes, and just 54 RBIs. A career in decline. This will be his final year. Projections? 19 homers, 68 RBIs, and a .269 batting average--a mild comeback from last year. We shall see what actually happens.

Pitching? The projection is for Chris Sale, a terrific pitcher by a variety of statistics, to have some problems winning. He is projected at 11-7 (last year, he had as fine year by most metrics, but was only 11-14 in wins and losses, due to a lack of support). He is projected to have a 2.70 ERA.

And on it goes, team after team.

Each year, this book brings me smiles as I look at team after team and wonder how the projections actually play out.
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