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Trading Bases: How a Wall Street Trader Made a Fortune Betting on Baseball (Anglais) Broché – 4 mars 2014

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Descriptions du produit

Revue de presse

“Fascinating…reads like a mash up of Liar’s Poker and Moneyball.”—Publishers Weekly

“[A] swaggering story from frantic stock trader to professional sports bettor....Even casual baseball fans could learn from it. Serious fans should slurp it up like ballpark beer.”—Los Angeles Times
“He reminds me of Nate Silver—he’s able to blend different worlds (in this case, baseball and finance) using his intense knowledge of each to give us a very entertaining read.”—Play-by-Play Announcer for the San Francisco Giants and ESPN National Sportscaster Dave Flemming

“Peta created a reliable system for beating Vegas odds throughout the 2011 Major League season…but it’s clear he loves the game as much as the winnings. Moreover, he asks a number of salient questions, such as: How can businesses on Wall Street and beyond apply thinking used by baseball sabermetricians to strengthen their own organizations? The answers, and how Peta arrived at them, make for great reading.”—Booklist

Présentation de l'éditeur

An ex–Wall Street trader improved on Moneyball’s famed sabermetrics and beat the Vegas odds with his own betting methods. Here is the story of how Joe Peta turned fantasy baseball into a dream come true.
Joe Peta turned his back on his Wall Street trading career to pursue an ingenious—and incredibly risky—dream. He would apply his risk-analysis skills to Major League Baseball, and treat the sport like the S&P 500.
In Trading Bases, Peta takes us on his journey from the ballpark in San Francisco to the trading floors and baseball bars of New York and the sportsbooks of Las Vegas, telling the story of how he created a baseball “hedge fund” with an astounding 41 percent return in his first year. And he explains the unique methods he developed.
Along the way, Peta provides insight into the Wall Street crisis he managed to escape: the fragility of the midnineties investment model; the disgraced former CEO of Lehman Brothers, who recruited Peta; and the high-adrenaline atmosphere where million-dollar sports-betting pools were common.

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Commentaires client les plus utiles sur (beta) 4.2 étoiles sur 5 91 commentaires
34 internautes sur 35 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
4.0 étoiles sur 5 IPOs, RBIs, and LOLs. 7 mars 2013
Par takingadayoff - Publié sur
Format: Relié
Trading Bases is an appealing mix of memoir, baseball stats, and gambling strategy. By combining the elements, author Joe Peta has managed to make a book that could have been too detailed for anyone but the most dedicated baseball fan or gamblers, into a narrative that reaches beyond those groups. Peta's amiable style is also a real plus -- this could easily have been another ego-driven story about the wonderfulness of a former Wall Street insider and his financial brilliance. Instead, Peta manages to convey his success and chops without coming across as what Michael Lewis called a BSD in Liar's Poker.

Be warned however, that if you are hoping for a black box method to riches or a sure-fire formula to instant wealth, you won't find it here. Peta is a huge baseball fan, and doesn't mind spending hours every day poring over statistics and crunching numbers. He also is deeply into odds and probabilities. If you are too, then there are enough graphs and charts in the book to make your mouth water. Peta has found a way not to beat the odds, but to make sure you only bet when the odds are in your favor. It takes a lot of time and math, and if you aren't seriously interested in baseball and numbers, this isn't the plan for you.

As a fun read though, if you just zip past the charts and formulas, there's an engaging story here by an author that knows his stuff and still seems like a nice guy.
19 internautes sur 20 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
5.0 étoiles sur 5 Crunching MLB's Numbers for Profit* 10 mars 2013
Par Larry Underwood - Publié sur
Format: Relié
Joe Peta seemed to have it made, landing a very lucrative job with a Japanese investment bank on Wall Street. Unfortunately, fate dealt him a bad hand - or in this case, a badly injured leg - after an out-of-control ambulance put the pedestrian in a wheel chair for an extended period of time, and ultimately out of that very lucrative job; just like that.

As Peta was recuperating, he would immerse himself in the latest Baseball Prospectus for hours on end, to take his mind off his plight; at least for a while. One day he had a brainstorm - he would apply his analytical knowledge of baseball, crunch the numbers, and develop a model for predicting with a relatively high level of probability, how the games themselves would play out. He was going to beat Las Vegas; not an easy proposition, but one that ultimately paid a very nice annual return - 41% to be exact.

As Peta's engaging tale unfolds, he walks the reader through the various formulas for predicting certain outcomes in MLB, and how luck - good or bad -sometimes comes into play in making things unpredictable. The baseball sabermetric community will love this book, as will anyone who likes to gamble a bit, or figure out what's going to happen on Wall Street.

Of course, the usual disclaimer applies here: *The results were attained by a trained professional. Your results may vary.
20 internautes sur 22 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
5.0 étoiles sur 5 A Dugout Full of Unexpected Charm 10 mars 2013
Par Girl of Summer - Publié sur
Format: Relié Achat vérifié
It starts with the dedication.

Before you ever get to a word about Wall Street, about gambling, or even baseball in Joe Peta's memoir, there is an 11 word dedication -- shorter than the average tweet -- that gives you a clue Trading Bases isn't your run-of-the-mill book about any of those topics. I won't reveal it here, but it's sweet, funny and charming and by the time I got to the middle of the book where the numbers-heavy passages subtlely morphed into unexpectedly charming storytelling, I realized, just like the "not necessarily in that order" subtitle, it provided a clue as to what was to come.

The chapters dealing with sabermetrics -- the science of baseball statistics Peta credits men like Bill James and Nate Silver with creating -- are fortunately filled with pop culture references and analogies not related to numbers so that they read easily, even for those who are inclined to skip the tables scattered across those early chapters. But once the foundation of those early chapters are set, they serve as a starting point for discussions on Lehman Brothers, the financial crisis, the similarities between Las Vegas bookmakers and Wall Street traders and, of course, being a baseball fan. It's the baseball discussions -- the experience of enjoying a game in a bar with friends, the oh-so-American tradition of having a catch with your dad, etc -- that are so moving I found myself reaching for tissues. Chapter 12 alone, which I won't spoil with details, earns this book 5 stars.

It won't surprise me if the gamblers and traders that share Joe's interests love this book. What might shock them is how much their wives and parents do too.
8 internautes sur 8 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
4.0 étoiles sur 5 Book review: Trading Bases by Joe Peta 4 avril 2013
Par SportsChump - Publié sur
Format: Relié
Sports books are far more enjoyable when you're interested in the topic, even more enjoyable when they're well-written and even more enjoyable than that when they include heart-felt, personal background as to why the author decided to write his book in the first place.

Such is the case with Joe Peta's Trading Bases: A Story about Wall Street, Gambling and Baseball (not necessarily in that order).

Peta is a former high-stakes, Wall Street broker. He's also passionate about his baseball. One afternoon in 2011, Peta was struck by an ambulance in downtown Manhattan. He was left in a wheelchair and summarily fired from his position. He's quick to point out he was not fired because of his injury, however, they did "roll him off the trading floor."

An avid sports fan who used to "treat the arrival of the new issue of Sports Illustrated like a weekly holiday," Peta decided to use his fortune, and new misfortune, along with his affinity for both numbers and baseball, to see if there was any way he could predict trends and make consistent money by gambling on our national pastime. Peta's not the first to do so and certainly won't be the last but would his model succeed where others have failed?

"Bringing together my love of trading and markets, models and sports betting, I decided to use the findings of baseball's `sabremetric' community to build a model that would beat the Las Vegas baseball line. I'm talking about doing research, believing that work creates an edge over others, and then investing in that edge. When trades with a positive expected value present themselves on the trading floor, you jump in with both feet. Betting on baseball futures was no different."

You just started paying attention, didn't you? Trust me, when I first heard about the book, I was skeptical, yet eager to find whether Peta's "investments" paid off or whether he was just one of those slick suited, scam artists trying to guarantee us a winner.

He's not. His model worked and he goes into a fair amount of detail why so buckle up and get your calculators ready.

One not need be familiar with the work of Bill James or Billy Beane to enjoy Trading Bases. Peta introduces the reader to both. In fact, at times the book is so numbers-intensive, Peta attempts to quantify "luck." Go figure.

Not only does Peta use his own brand of sabremetrics to determine season over/unders (against Las Vegas'), he uses his strategy to make money on single-game match-ups. He finds value where he and Vegas differ, then bets accordingly. He addresses how much to wager and why betting on baseball is a more prudent than gambling on other sports.

The book is not only about baseball and gambling. It's about his experience on the floor as well. At some points, Bases got a little too stocks-and-bondsy for me considering terms like hedge funds, basis points and equity-related derivatives don't exist in my vocabulary but Peta effectively parallels the financial crisis and risk management to gambling, something too few us do after one too many cocktails at the blackjack table.
Using the 2011 season as his test case, Trading Bases details Peta's renewed passion for baseball, the stock market and the inherent ups and downs of them both. After experiencing positive returns in April and May, Peta experienced a downturn the next two months, which led to panic from some of his backers. He started to rethink his model, taking a closer look at what was going on. He discovered that the "cluster luck" of a hot Minnesota Twins team, a team he had projected to do poorly, had messed with his model in the short-term. After taking a closer look at their success, he banked things would work itself out over time.

So did they, you ask? Well, obviously the model worked otherwise there would be no reason to write the book. After one full season, Peta had bet on just over 2000 games, earning himself a 33% return on his investment, despite the ebbs and flows of a few teams that broke trends. Not a bad year at the office. He made another 12% return on his investment over the 2012 season.

When it's all said and done, Peta does what most any educated gambler does when it comes to laying big money on games. He finds inherent errors in a Vegas line then attacks. He just lives to tell about it and does so with a lot more spreadsheets.

If you've never considered betting on baseball, Peta makes a convincing argument on its behalf as long as you do so responsibly. Just be prepared to put some work in.
6 internautes sur 6 ont trouvé ce commentaire utile 
5.0 étoiles sur 5 Good read 3 juin 2013
Par nate smith - Publié sur
Format: Format Kindle Achat vérifié
Great book. Would recommend to anyone that is a gambler, baseball fan, or both. The only issue is that it isn't longer.
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